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北方期货:日胶窄幅震荡 沪胶试完支撑试阻力

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李川源
    消息面比较平静,TOCOM期胶在技术性因素主导下窄幅震荡。基准一月合约终以254.50日圆/公斤报收,小幅下跌0.3日圆,市场人气依然利空.沪胶今日小幅高开后,在买盘推动下一路走高,后遇阻回落。ru0711合约终以19485元/吨报收。从持仓上看,多空继续增仓,但空头仍占据优势。

    现货方面,泰国USS3橡胶现货价格下滑,泰国产区降雨停止供应紧张的状况得到缓解。合艾中心市场USS3橡胶报每公斤66.92泰铢,周三报每公斤67.56泰铢。国内农垦5号标胶今日挂单1140吨,挂单均价18760元/吨,无成交.由于国内需求不旺,国内外现货市场成交均不活跃。

    技术上,日胶近几个交易日震荡重心下移,迟迟不能上破260日圆一线,后市可能遭遇更多卖盘打压,有望继续震荡下行。沪胶反复考验下方支撑后,今日放量增仓,上试19500一线未果,短期在此价位附近料将仍有争夺,但集中的空头持仓给期价上攻蒙上一层阴影,操作上建议19500附近可短线沽空,等待形态整理完毕。
 
来源:文华财经
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